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"China's Limited Aims," (with Jackie S.H. Wong and Zenobia Chan) Foreign Affairs (September 10, 2025)
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“What Does China Want?” (with Jackie S.H. Wong and Zenobia Chan) International Security 50, no. 1 (Summer 2025).
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“The Bargaining Theory of War and North Korea: Why the peninsula is more stable than the conventional wisdom thinks,” (with Yuji Idomoto) Journal of Asian Peacekeeping 13, no. 1 (May 2025): 19-40.
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“Trump 2.0 and North Korea: there will be no reconciliation,” (with Noelle Troutman) Asian Survey 65, no. 4 (July/August 2025).
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“Why Vietnam is not balancing China: Vietnamese security priorities and the dynamics of the Sino-Vietnamese relationship,” (with Xinru Ma) Journal of East Asian Studies 23, no. 3 (2024): 363-386.
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“Toward Measuring Free-Riding: Counterfactuals, Alliances, and U.S.-Philippine Relations,” (with Xinru Ma) Journal of Global Security Studies 8, no. 1 (2023).
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“State Formation in Korea and Japan, 400-800 CE: Emulation and Learning, not Bellicist Competition,” (with Chin-Hao Huang) International Organization 76, no. 1 (January 2022): 1-31.
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“Thought Games about China,” Journal of East Asian Studies 20, no. 2 (2020): 135-150. (Part of the roundtable “Power shifts: connecting IR theory with the Chinese case”)
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“International Order in Historical East Asia: Tribute and Hierarchy beyond Sinocentrism and Eurocentrism,” International Organization 74, no. 1 (Winter 2020): 65-93.
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“U.S. Bias in the Study of International Relations: Using Europe to study Asia,” (with Alex Yu-Ting Lin), Journal of Global Security Studies 4, no. 3 (July 2019): 393-401.
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​“War, Rebellion, and Intervention Under Hierarchy: Vietnam-China Relations, 1365-1841,” (with Dat Nguyen, Meredith Shaw, and Ronan Tse-min Fu), Journal of Conflict Resolution 63, no. 4 (April 2019): 896-922
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​“Theory and Empirics in the Study of Historical East Asian International Relations,” Harvard Journal of Asiatic Studies 77, no. 1 (2017), pp. 111-122
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“Measuring War in Early Modern East Asia: Introducing Chinese and Korean Language Sources,” (with Ronan Tse-min Fu and Meredith Shaw), International Studies Quarterly 60, no. 4 (December 2016), pp. 766-777
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“Why Was There no Religious War in Premodern East Asia?” European Journal of International Relations 20, no. 4 (2014), pp. 965-986. Reprinted in Ron Hassner and Isak Svensson, eds., International Relations and Religion (SAGE, 2016).
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“Hierarchy and Legitimacy in International Systems: the tribute system in early modern East Asia,” Security Studies 19, no. 4 (December 2010), pp. 591-622. Reprinted in Robert Art and Robert Jervis, eds., International Politics: Enduring Concepts and Contemporary Issues, 11th edition (Pearson, 2012)
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“Testing Balance of Power Theory in World History,” European Journal of International Relations, (with William Wohlforth et al.), 13, no. 2 (June 2007), pp. 155-85. Awarded “Best article in the European Journal of International Relations for the years 2007-2009.”
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“Getting Asia Wrong: the Need for New Analytic Frameworks,” International Security 27, no. 4 (Spring 2003): 57-85. Reprinted in Theo Farrell, ed., Security Studies: Critical Concepts in International Relations (Routledge, 2009)
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“International Relations Theory and the Second Korean War,” International Studies Quarterly 47, no. 3 (September 2003): 301-324
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“Transaction Costs and Crony Capitalism in East Asia,” Comparative Politics 35 no. 4 (July 2003): 439-458
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“Bad Loans to Good Friends: money politics and the developmental state in Korea,” International Organization 56, no. 1 (Winter 2002): 177-207
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“South Korean and Taiwanese Development and the New Institutional Economics,” International Organization 49, no. 3 (Summer 1995): 555-87
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“Preventive War and North Korea,” Security Studies 4, no. 2 (Winter 1995): 330-63
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“Rethinking North Korea,” Asian Survey 35, no. 3 (March 1995): 253-267